Grand Closure 关门大吉

A reverse prediction game based on urban observation

Step 1: Selecting the Area:

Space: Choose 1–3 city blocks, or a street of moderate length (approximately 500 m–1 km).

Boundaries: The game takes place only within the line of sight between Point A and Point B.

Step 2: Hunter’s Actions

Core Rules: The Hunter must walk through the designated area within a 2-hour time limit.

Restrictions: It is strictly forbidden to ask shop staff or passersby for information. Visual observation only.

Objective: Identify a shop you believe is about to “close down,” take a photo of its storefront sign, and provide a brief written description (within 200 words) explaining why you think it’s about to close.

Step 3: Public Voting:

Submission: Hunters submit photos of their selected shop along with their reasoning. The organizer posts the content on social media platforms for voting.

Audience Voting: Social media users vote for the shop they believe is “most likely to go out of business.”

Elimination Mechanism: At the close of voting, the shop with the most votes is immediately eliminated. (If a shop is so obviously on the verge of closing that everyone can see it, the Hunter who identified it is deemed to have “mediocre observational skills” and is immediately disqualified.)

Winner: The organizer must monitor the “operational status” of all selected stores at regular intervals over a set period (e.g., 1–3 months, six months, or even longer) until one store actually “closes for good.” The Hunter who selected that store wins. If no store closes within the specified timeframe, the Hunter with the most votes wins.

———————

一种基于城市观察的逆向预测游戏

步骤一：区域选择：

• 空间： 选定 1-3 个街区，或一条长度适中（约 500m-1km）的街道。
• 边界： 游戏仅在从 A 点到 B 点的可见范围内进行。

步骤二：猎人行动

• 核心规则： Hunter 在限定的 2 小时 内步行穿越该区域。
• 禁令： 严禁向店员、路人询问信息。仅限视觉观察。
• 目标： 找出一家你认为即将“关门大吉”的店铺，拍摄门面招牌，并用简单的文本描述判断它即将关门的原因（200字以内）

步骤三：公开投票：

• 提交： Hunter 提交选定店铺的照片及理由。组织者在社媒平台发布可投票的内容。
• 观众投票： 社媒上的浏览者投票给他们眼中“最有可能倒闭”的店铺。
• 淘汰机制：投票时间截止时，得票数第一名 直接淘汰。（如果一家店倒闭得太明显，以至于所有人都能看出来，那么发现它的 Hunter 判定为“观察力平庸”，直接出局。）
• 胜出： 组织者需要在一个时间周期内（比如1-3个月，或者半年甚至是更长周期的时间）按一定时间节奏，去检查所有被选中店铺的“营业状况”，直到有一家店真正“关门大吉”的时候， 选中该店铺的Hunter 获胜。如果限定时间内，没有任何店铺倒闭，那么得票最多的Hunter获胜。